VBackground & AnalysisAnalysis
Sales Talent Shortage: What Small Businesses Can Do Now
The position has been advertised for months, and your best salesperson is thinking about leaving. An assessment of the labor market and a sequence of levers that a small business controls itself.
Key takeaways
- Germany's skills shortage eased slightly in 2025 but has not gone away. The IW institute expects the largest gap by 2029 to be in sales occupations.
- When a salesperson resigns, customer relationships leave too. Retention is therefore the cheapest lever and comes first.
- Many salespeople spend a large share of their time on work that is not selling. Freeing up that time works faster than any job ad.
- The capacity ladder puts the levers in order: keep, relieve, develop, recruit. Only the fourth step takes you to the job market.
Why can't you find salespeople anymore?
The ad has been running for four months. Seven applications came in, two interviews, no hire. Meanwhile inquiries sit too long because the only field salesperson is on vacation and you are juggling quotes and job sites yourself. This is what a talent shortage in sales feels like: the market is there, but the people to work it are missing.
The problem is not just a feeling. Every year, Germany's Federal Employment Agency (Bundesagentur für Arbeit, BA) checks which occupations are hard to fill. For 2025 it counted 157 occupational groups with shortages, six fewer than the year before. On annual average in 2025, around 402,000 vacancies for skilled workers, specialists, and experts subject to social insurance were reported, about half of them in shortage occupations.
Source: Federal Employment Agency: press release no. 32, September 2, 2026 (in German)
One detail matters for sales: in IT sales the BA no longer found a shortage in 2025, unlike the year before. The weak economy has eased the pressure in some areas. Anyone who concludes that the issue will resolve itself is reading the figures too narrowly. That raises one question: how do you secure sales capacity when salespeople are hard to find? To answer it, we first look at the forecast to 2029 and the cost of a resignation, then at the reasons salespeople leave, and then sort the levers with the capacity ladder, from the selling time in your team to the question of what draws salespeople to a small business.
How large will the gap in sales be by 2029?
In September 2026 the German Economic Institute (Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft, IW) published a projection to 2029. It extrapolates the trend from 2018 to 2024 for around 1,300 occupations, based on data from the BA and the Federal Statistical Office. The result: in 2029, up to 723,000 skilled workers could be missing nationwide, 47 percent more than in 2024.
Source: German Economic Institute: IW-Kurzbericht 61/2026, press release of September 7, 2026 (in German)
The largest single gap, at just over 39,000 missing skilled workers, is in sales. The IW cites retail clerks as an example, so the figure affects retail first and not technical B2B field sales. It still shows the direction: commercial occupations with customer contact are becoming scarcer because more baby boomers are retiring than young people are entering.
What does it cost when a salesperson leaves?
In sales, a resignation costs more than in many other functions. The salesperson takes knowledge about customers, open conversations, and often the trust a customer placed in a person rather than a company. On top come recruiting, onboarding, and the time until the successor carries the load. For the first sales hire, the article Hiring your first salesperson assumes six to nine months to full productivity.
| Item | Assumption | Cost |
|---|---|---|
| Vacancy until the position is filled | 4 months, the team absorbs half of the revenue | 80,000 € in revenue |
| Onboarding | 6 months at half productivity on average | 120,000 € in revenue |
| Search and selection | Ads, recruiters, interviews | 15,000 € |
| Lost customers | two customers follow the salesperson | not quantified |
Worked example
In this worked example, around 200,000 euros in revenue are missing before a single customer has left. The figures are freely chosen. Recalculate them with your own numbers; the result surprises almost every owner.
In a talent shortage, the salesperson you keep is the only one you can count on.
Why do salespeople quit, and what does research say?
The most thorough study comes from Sunder, Kumar, Goreczny, and Maurer (2017). They analyzed data on 6,727 salespeople at a US telecommunications provider over two years. They measured actual resignations, not the intention to quit. The authors refer to estimates according to which annual sales force turnover reaches up to 27 percent in some industries.
- Colleagues matter more than one's own situation. When someone on the team quits, the likelihood that others follow rises markedly. On average this peer influence was greater than the influence of one's own performance or customer satisfaction.
- The middle leaves first. Those who reached their targets very often or very rarely were more likely to stay. Turnover was highest among salespeople who hit their targets a moderate number of times. The authors explain this partly by competitors deliberately poaching solid people with room to grow.
- Satisfied customers keep salespeople. Those who satisfied their customers quit less often.
The study concerns salespeople in the stores of a single corporation. It cannot be transferred one to one to a business with three field reps. The core is still useful: a resignation is rarely an isolated event, and the people in the middle of your team need as much attention as your top performers.
Three further studies round out the picture. Kim, Crecelius, Dixon, and colleagues (2026) found in a long-term study at a large US corporation that both weak and very strong salespeople leave more often, and cite perceived pay fairness among the explanations. Brown, Locander, and Locander (2022) surveyed 274 B2B salespeople: when supervisors focus only on the bottom line, exhaustion and the intention to leave rise. Liu and colleagues (2024) showed with 263 salespeople that the type of role also matters, meaning new customer acquisition or account management, and that age influences this relationship.
The capacity ladder: the order in which you act
Most businesses respond to the shortage with a job ad. It is the most expensive and slowest lever. I therefore arrange the options as a ladder with four steps. Each step is cheaper and faster than the next, and only on the fourth do you enter the job market.
Step 1: Keep
Secure the sales time you already have. Have an honest conversation with each salesperson about satisfaction, pay, and development before a headhunter does. Pay special attention to the solid middle.
Step 2: Relieve
Take everything off salespeople's plates that is not selling: typing up quotes, maintaining data, chasing appointments, checking delivery status. Templates, inside sales support, and automation free up hours here.
Step 3: Develop
Build sales capability from within. Technicians, project managers, or inside sales staff often know product and customers better than any applicant and mainly need a conversation guide and coaching.
Step 4: Recruit
Search externally, but with a clear profile, a realistic onboarding plan, and an offer that holds up in the competition for applicants. Only now is money for ads and recruiters well spent.
What attracts salespeople to a small business?
Against large corporations you lose on the company car and usually on base salary. A small business has other strengths that it rarely voices. Salespeople seldom switch for money alone, as the article What motivates salespeople explains. Fair pay remains a precondition, however, which the study by Kim and colleagues (2026) also points to.
- Closeness to decisions: Prices, special requests, and delivery commitments are settled with a call to the owner, not an approval loop.
- Visible impact: A won order is felt across the business. That is something people can be proud of.
- Clear compensation: An understandable model of base salary and variable pay builds trust. The comparison Sales compensation shows which models exist.
- Good tools: Offering a well-maintained CRM, ready-made templates, and inside sales support promises less wasted time.
- Development: A path to team lead or key accounts is often within reach sooner in a small business.
Address these points openly in interviews and in the ad. And be honest about the weaknesses, such as missing structures. Applicants notice where things are rough anyway, and they appreciate it when you say so first.
How do you make your sales less dependent on individuals?
The shortage sharpens a risk that existed in many businesses before: customer knowledge sits in individual heads. If the one salesperson who knows all the key accounts leaves, the business faces the same problem as in a succession. The better this knowledge is recorded, the less a resignation hurts and the faster a newcomer becomes productive.
- Every important customer has a profile with contacts, history, and open topics in the CRM.
- There is a written process for the first meeting, the quote, and the follow-up.
- Every key account knows at least two people in the business.
- Price ranges and discount rules are written down, not just known.
- New colleagues can sit in on conversations during their first weeks.
How to transfer the owner's own knowledge into processes is described in the guide Systematizing founder-led sales. How regular meetings and coaching hold a team together is covered in Leading a sales team.
The next step
Start at the bottom of the ladder. The first two steps mainly cost attention, and they work while the job ad is still running.
- For each salesperson, note how high you rate the risk of them leaving, and start with the solid middle.
- Hold a conversation with each salesperson within the next two weeks about satisfaction, pay, and next steps.
- Have the team roughly log for one week how many hours go to customer conversations, driving, quotes, coordination, and data maintenance.
- Pick the two biggest time sinks outside selling and plan a template, a handover to inside sales, or an automation for each.
- Check who in the business knows product and customers well and could sell with coaching.
- Calculate the cost of a resignation with your own figures and set it next to the cost of a pay adjustment.
The question at the start was to secure sales capacity when salespeople are hard to find. The answer follows the capacity ladder: first keep the salespeople you have, then relieve their time of work that is not selling, then develop people from within your own business, and only last search the labor market. The lower steps mainly cost attention and work faster than any job ad.
Frequently asked questions
Is there a shortage of sales staff?
Yes, although its severity varies by industry. Germany's Federal Employment Agency counted 157 shortage occupations in 2025, but no longer found a shortage in IT sales. In its projection to 2029, the IW expects the largest single gap in sales, with just over 39,000 missing skilled workers.
Why do salespeople quit?
Besides pay and leadership, colleagues play a major role. In a study of 6,727 salespeople, resignations on the team markedly increased the likelihood of further resignations. Those who reached their targets a moderate number of times left most often.
How do I find good salespeople for a small business?
First check whether you can develop people internally who know the product and customers. Externally, a clear profile, a realistic onboarding plan, and openly stating the strengths of a small business, such as short decision paths and visible impact, help.
What does it cost when a salesperson resigns?
That depends on revenue per salesperson, the length of the vacancy, and the onboarding period. Add up lost revenue during the search, the period of reduced productivity during onboarding, and the search costs. Customers who leave come on top.
How can I sell more without hiring?
By taking work off salespeople that is not selling, such as preparing quotes, maintaining data, or scheduling. Templates, inside sales support, and automation often free up several hours per person per week.
Sources
- Federal Employment Agency: Skilled workers remain scarce, immigration continues to gain importance. Press release no. 32, September 2, 2026 (in German)
- German Economic Institute: Labor market: 723,000 skilled workers missing in 2029. Press release of September 7, 2026 (IW-Kurzbericht 61/2026, Alexander Burstedde, in German)
- Sunder, S.; Kumar, V.; Goreczny, A.; Maurer, T. (2017): Why Do Salespeople Quit? An Empirical Examination of Own and Peer Effects on Salesperson Turnover Behavior. Journal of Marketing Research, 54(3), pp. 381-397.
- Kim, Y. M.; Crecelius, A. T.; Dixon, A. L. et al. (2026): When does past sales performance predict turnover in contemporary inside and outside sales forces? Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, 54(3), pp. 925-947.
- Brown, B. W.; Locander, J. A.; Locander, W. B. (2022): Should I Stay or Should I Go? The Cascading Impact of Performance Pressure on Supervisor Bottom-Line Mentality and Salesperson Hypervigilant Decision Making, Emotional Exhaustion, and Engagement. Journal of Business-to-Business Marketing, 29(3/4), pp. 353-368.
- Liu, M.; John-Mariadoss, B.; Umesh, U. N. et al. (2024): Understanding why and when sales role focus affects salesperson turnover: Do career aspirations and age play a role? Journal of Personal Selling & Sales Management, 44(3), pp. 237-252.
Note. This article is a general assessment from a business owner's perspective. Tables and charts without a source are worked examples with freely chosen figures.



