VBackground & AnalysisAnalysis
Fintechs and Supervision: When the Audited Company Is Ahead of the Auditor
Payment providers, neobanks, and crypto firms develop their technology faster than lawmakers and supervisors can understand it. An analysis of why oversight lags behind, what changed after 2020, and what this means for a business that works with such providers.
Key takeaways
- The Collingridge dilemma describes the core of the problem: early on, supervisors know too little about a new technology; later, it is too entrenched to steer easily.
- In the Wirecard case, BaFin supervised only the group's own bank, not the group, which counted as a technology company. Since 2022, BaFin has reviewed listed companies' accounts itself and with more powers.
- Two readings compete: the supervisor was technically overstretched, or it was not independent enough. The findings suggest that both work together.
- Businesses face the same situation on a small scale: if you use providers who are technically ahead of you, you need a check that does not depend on understanding the technology.
Why supervision often lags behind new financial technology
Fintechs, companies that offer financial services with new technology, have changed paying, saving, and borrowing within a few years. Many businesses use them daily: for card payments in the shop, for invoicing, for credit in online retail. Behind each of these services is a company that someone is supposed to supervise.
Supervision has a structural problem here. It examines companies whose technology changes faster than rules can be written and examiners trained. This article therefore asks: What happens when the audited company is technically ahead of the auditor, and how can oversight still be effective? To answer it, we first clarify a thinking model, then look at a documented case and the reforms that followed, weigh two readings, and transfer the result to your own business.
The Collingridge dilemma: too little knowledge early, too little influence late
In 1980, the British technology scholar David Collingridge described a dilemma that has borne his name ever since. While a technology is new, it is easy to steer, but nobody knows exactly what its consequences will be. Once the consequences are visible, the technology is so widespread that any correction becomes costly and laborious. Regulators must therefore act either under ignorance or with diminished effect.
Ahern (2025) describes in a scholarly article how this produces a widening gap between innovation and regulation in the EU. She also uses the term pacing problem: technology sets the pace, rules follow. The result, she argues, is often regulation that is either too strict or too lax, rarely just right. A second problem she names is regulatory arbitrage: companies locate where the rules are least burdensome.
An analogy makes the situation tangible. Imagine a driving examiner who has to test candidates in a car whose controls he has never learned himself. He can check whether the candidate stops at a red light. Whether the driver-assistance system is working properly at that moment, he cannot judge.
Source: Own calculation from dates; Regulation (EU) 2023/1114 (MiCA)
The figures do not show inaction but the dilemma. Ahern (2025) points out that before 2017, supervisors worldwide considered blockchain applications too immature to regulate. Only the wave of token sales made the need for action visible.
What a documented case shows about supervisory gaps
The collapse of the payment services company Wirecard in June 2020 is the best-known case in Germany. The company had a banking subsidiary supervised by BaFin, Germany's Federal Financial Supervisory Authority. The group itself, however, counted as a technology company and was not subject to direct financial supervision. Bloomberg described this in 2020 as a blind spot: a company that acts like a bank but isn't one (Comfort and Drozdiak 2020).
In addition, responsibility for reviewing financial statements was split. First a private body, the Financial Reporting Enforcement Panel (DPR), examined them; only then could BaFin step in. Money laundering at companies outside the financial sector fell to regional authorities (Comfort and Jennen 2020). In February 2019, BaFin temporarily banned new short positions in the share and filed a criminal complaint against journalists. The article Chronicle of an accounting scandal recounts the sequence. The criminal proceedings have not been concluded; the presumption of innocence applies to everyone involved.
| Area | Until 2021 | Since 2022 |
|---|---|---|
| Review of financial statements | two-tier: first the private DPR, then BaFin | BaFin alone; the DPR was dissolved |
| Powers | limited investigative rights | BaFin may search and seize as part of reviewing financial statements |
| Organization | supervision by sector | new units such as focus supervision for complex companies and rapidly deployable task forces |
| Statutory auditors | rotation possible after up to 20 or 24 years | ten years at most at public-interest entities |
After 2020, BaFin also took a tougher line with other fintechs. In 2024, Bloomberg reported sanctions against about a dozen companies, including the neobank N26 and the banking-as-a-service provider Solaris, and that the supervisor intended to ease some growth caps after the firms' controls had improved (Comfort 2024).
Two readings: a competence gap or a lack of independence?
Why did oversight fail to take hold for so long in the Wirecard case? Research discusses two explanations.
Competence gap
- The technology and business model were hard to see through.
- Responsibilities did not fit a company between technology and finance.
- The rules lagged behind the market, as the Collingridge dilemma would predict.
Lack of independence
- The supervisor was politically and institutionally under the government's influence.
- Outside criticism was seen as an attack on the market rather than a warning sign.
- Not a lack of knowledge but a lack of distance prevented intervention.
The second reading is captured by a term from regulation research: regulatory capture, the co-opting of a supervisor by the interests of those it is supposed to supervise. Buttigieg, Witzel, and Zimmermann (2023) distinguish between hard capture through corruption or collusion and soft capture through political and institutional conditions. Drawing on the findings of the German Bundestag's committee of inquiry and a review by the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), they conclude that hard capture of BaFin cannot be proven. Its legal dependence on the finance ministry, however, created room for soft capture.
Alade (2025) adds a third view. Cases such as FTX, Wirecard, and Celsius show that conventional corporate governance reaches its limits at fintechs, because many decisions are embedded in algorithms and automated processes rather than resting with clearly identifiable individuals.
I do not see the two readings as opposites. A competence gap makes a supervisor more dependent on information from the supervised company, and a lack of distance prevents it from closing the gap with critical questions. It becomes dangerous where both coincide.
If you do not understand a technology, you must check all the more carefully who is explaining it to you.
How supervision can cope with the pace
Ahern (2025) argues for anticipatory regulation in three parts. Foresight: authorities systematically observe what is coming technically. Experimentation: in regulatory sandboxes, companies can test new offerings under supervision and with conditions. Learning: the authority evaluates what it learns and adjusts rules step by step.
The advantage of such experiments lies in rapid feedback with limited damage if something fails. The EU now uses sandboxes explicitly, for instance in the AI Act, which EU AI Act discusses. For crypto-assets, the MiCA Regulation has applied since the end of 2024, as described in Stablecoins and MiCA. Since January 2025, the EU Digital Operational Resilience Act, DORA for short, has also applied, requiring financial companies to take precautions against IT outages and cyberattacks.
The limit of these approaches is obvious. Sandboxes help with companies that want to cooperate with the supervisor. They do not protect against deception. That still requires independent audits, direct evidence, and a supervisor that follows up on uncomfortable tips.
What this means for your business
Every owner knows the supervisor's situation on a small scale. The payment provider, the IT service provider, or the employee who set up the inventory system knows more about their technology than you do. You are still supposed to check whether the money arrives, the data are correct, and the processes are secure. From this I derive the control-without-technology test: it asks which checks work without you having to understand the technology.
Check results, not procedures
You do not need to know how a payment system calculates. But you can check whether reported sales match receipts in your own bank account, using access that does not run through the provider.
Look up authorization and supervision
For payment and crypto service providers, check whether they hold a license. In Germany, BaFin maintains a public company database for this. Due diligence on business partners describes how to vet partners beyond that.
Write down dependencies
Note which processes stop if a provider fails, and how long you can manage without it. What to do if your own IT is attacked is covered in Cyberattacks on small businesses.
Have explanations cross-checked
If someone explains a technology to you from which they earn money, get a second opinion on important decisions. This is the same logic as with the independence of statutory auditors.
Tips from your own team belong here too. Employees often notice inconsistencies in systems first. Whistleblower protection describes how a business receives and protects such tips.
Transferability and limits
The Wirecard case was also a failure of responsibilities. A company that stood between technology and finance fell through a grid built for traditional banks. The reforms have narrowed this gap for listed companies. Whether they suffice for the next generation of business models cannot be said today. The Collingridge dilemma suggests that new gaps will arise.
The works cited have limits. Ahern (2025) argues from a legal perspective rather than with measurements, and Buttigieg and colleagues (2023) rely on a single case. Whether anticipatory regulation works measurably better has barely been studied, as Ahern herself acknowledges.
Conclusion: oversight needs distance, not just knowledge
To the guiding question: when the audited company is technically ahead of the auditor, the auditor becomes dependent on the audited company's explanations. The Collingridge dilemma explains why this situation is almost unavoidable with new financial technology. The Wirecard case shows that a competence gap becomes dangerous when distance is lacking at the same time. Effective oversight is still possible: with clear responsibilities, powers, supervised experiments, and above all evidence that does not pass through the audited party.
For your business, the most important step is simple: verify results through your own channels, even if you do not understand the technology behind them.
- For every payment and IT provider, note which processes depend on it.
- Look up your payment providers' authorization in BaFin's company database.
- Ensure your own read access to all business accounts, independent of the provider.
- Put a monthly comparison of reported sales and actual receipts in the calendar.
Frequently asked questions
What is the Collingridge dilemma?
It describes a basic problem in regulating new technologies. While a technology is new, it is easy to steer, but its consequences are unknown. Once the consequences are visible, it is so widespread that corrections become difficult and costly.
Why did BaFin not supervise Wirecard?
BaFin supervised the group's own Wirecard Bank. The group itself counted as a technology company and was not subject to direct financial supervision. Review of the financial statements initially lay with a private body; only afterwards could BaFin step in.
What changed in supervision after the Wirecard scandal?
Under the Financial Market Integrity Strengthening Act, BaFin took over the review of financial statements alone in 2022 and gained powers to search and seize. It set up new units, such as focus supervision for complex companies. The rules for statutory auditors were also tightened.
What is a regulatory sandbox?
A testing environment in which companies can try out new financial or technology offerings under supervision and with conditions. The authority learns how the offerings work and can adjust rules. Such a sandbox does not protect against deliberate deception.
How do I check whether a payment provider is licensed?
In Germany, you can check BaFin's public company database to see whether a provider holds a license. For providers from other EU countries, the authorization of their home country applies. Also check the contract, fees, and payout periods.
Sources
- Ahern, D. (2025): The New Anticipatory Governance Culture for Innovation: Regulatory Foresight, Regulatory Experimentation and Regulatory Learning. European Business Organization Law Review, 26(2), pp. 241-283.
- Buttigieg, C. P.; Witzel, L. G.; Zimmermann, B. B. (2023): Soft Regulatory Capture and Supervisory Independence: A Case-Study on Wirecard. European Company & Financial Law Review, 20(4), pp. 623-659.
- Alade, I. (2025): Reconceptualization of Corporate Governance for Fintech Firms. Loyola of Los Angeles International & Comparative Law Review, 47(3), pp. 303-357.
- Comfort, N.; Drozdiak, N. (2020): Wirecard Flourished in Regulatory Blind Spot That's Growing. Bloomberg, July 7, 2020.
- Comfort, N.; Jennen, B. (2020): Wirecard Exposes Gaping Holes in German Financial Oversight. Bloomberg, June 29, 2020.
- Comfort, N. (2024): Germany's Birgit Rodolphe to Ease Fintech Growth Caps After Clampdown in Wirecard's Wake. Bloomberg, February 21, 2024.
- Collingridge, D. (1980): The Social Control of Technology. Frances Pinter.
- Juhn Partner: the Financial Market Integrity Strengthening Act after Wirecard (in German)
- Regulation (EU) 2023/1114 on markets in crypto-assets (MiCA)
- Regulation (EU) 2022/2554 on digital operational resilience for the financial sector (DORA)
Note. This article is based on publicly available sources and scientific studies. Criminal proceedings in connection with Wirecard have not been concluded with final and binding effect; the presumption of innocence applies to all persons and companies named. Assessments are worded as such. This article is not legal advice.



